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Fauci sees signs of the virus becoming cyclical, like the flu.
Posted by: Speedy
Date: March 25, 2020 10:52PM
[www.nytimes.com]

Dr. Anthony S. Fauci, the director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, said Wednesday that he was seeing indications that the virus could keep returning as a “seasonal, cyclic thing,” like the flu.

One of the key questions about the virus has been whether its spread would slow or stop in warm weather and return in cold weather, and Dr. Fauci suggested that it may follow that seasonal pattern.

“What we are starting to see now in the southern hemisphere,” he said, referring specifically to southern Africa, “is that we are having cases that are appearing as they go into their winter season. And if, in fact, they have a substantial outbreak, it will be inevitable that we need to be prepared that we will get a cycle around the second time.”

That makes it all the more important that scientists “have a vaccine available for that next cycle,” as well as “a menu of drugs that we have shown to be effective and shown to be safe,” he said.



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Re: Fauci sees signs of the virus becoming cyclical, like the flu.
Posted by: sekker
Date: March 25, 2020 11:08PM
Every major pandemic has followed this pattern the last 150 years. Not surprised.
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Re: Fauci sees signs of the virus becoming cyclical, like the flu.
Posted by: cbelt3
Date: March 26, 2020 08:34AM
Yup. Only fools and those who listen to fools believe we can 'stop it'. It's never been about stopping it. You can't. It's been about slowing it so that the most critical cases can get care. Because otherwise medicine gets overwhelmed, and then it's the Bad Days.

The only thing that will 'stop' COVID=19 is a functional and globally distributed immunization. That project is a true world project, and needs to be handled that way. An immunization made available globally. Free.

Why ?

Because as this virus rolls through the world, it will mutate. And then the immunization becomes useless. Think of influenza. If the world was immunized for a broad spectrum of influenza, it would theoretically be possible to eradicate it from the world. Just like smallpox was eradicated.

Attempts to profit from a COVID-19 immunization should be considered attempted murder. On a global scale.
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Re: Fauci sees signs of the virus becoming cyclical, like the flu.
Posted by: MrNoBody
Date: March 26, 2020 09:28AM
Think how long it took to develop Ervebo (ebola vaccine). And as cbelt3 noted,
no one is sure ebola won't mutate and make Ervebo useless.
One thing is certain, as the world "shrinks" there will be more new 'bugs' appearing
to infect humans and animals.

Be well everyone! thumbsup smiley



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Re: Fauci sees signs of the virus becoming cyclical, like the flu.
Posted by: Lew Zealand
Date: March 26, 2020 11:11AM
Quote
cbelt3
Because as this virus rolls through the world, it will mutate. And then the immunization becomes useless. Think of influenza. If the world was immunized for a broad spectrum of influenza, it would theoretically be possible to eradicate it from the world. Just like smallpox was eradicated.

2 things, 1 is that it may not mutate quickly and therefore immunizations will confer protection for a while. Early indications were that it doesn't mutate quickly, but that can change.

Second is that you cannot eradicate diseases which also infect animals. You can only eradicate a disease which doesn't hop species as you can immunize all humans and be done with it. Smallpox, Polio, a few others. Not this one as it does infect other animals so there will always be a pool of the disease in an animal somewhere waiting to hop over to an opportune host.
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Re: Fauci sees signs of the virus becoming cyclical, like the flu.
Posted by: cbelt3
Date: March 26, 2020 11:25AM
Lew, good point. The Cowpox vaccine as a defense against smallpox is a great case in point, but where a similar virus in animals was used to help protect humans.
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