Poll

How will they vote?

Only registered users are allowed to vote for this poll.
26 votes were received.

They'll throw the entire thing out.	8		31%
They'll keep the entire thing.	7		27%
They'll rule only the individual insurance mandate unconstitutional.	8		31%
They'll rule only the individual mandate and medicaid expansion unconstitutional.	3		11%

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I've always thought that the republican contribution to the healthcare law (i.e. the individual mandate to buy insurance with no publicly funded options) was a disaster, and bordering on unconstitutional, inserted as a poison pill to bring about this supreme court showdown. Now the poison pill is releasing its toxins and the republican-majority court has to rule.

I think they're probably going to strike down the mandate, but there's really no justification to strike down the rest of the law, except perhaps that little bit about withholding medicaid funds from the states if they don't expand their coverage. I think it would perhaps be not too bad a thing if they strike down the mandate, which would force congress to come up with a way of funding the rest of the law (i.e. by introducing some version of single payer/public option funding). What do you folks think is going to happen?

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"So be proud to be a decent American instead of just a w'anker whipping up fear!" - Michael D. Higgins, President of Ireland

Relevant filings to date:
[www.supremecourt.gov]

I don't see them accepting the concept of throwing out the whole baby when he crapped in the bathwater. Some of these writs are too damn broad.

The sad news is an inadequate Health Care System will prevail.
US Tax payers and Americans without insurance will get f#%ke3d again. ymmv

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“Stay Hungry Stay Foolish"
"There are only two mantras yummm and yuk "
"There is a fine line between a rut and a groove"
"I got to that part and I knew there was going to be some weapons grade stupid to follow"Lux Interior
"When all the trees have been cut down, when all the animals have been hunted,
when all the waters are polluted, when all the air is unsafe to breathe, only then
will you discover you cannot eat money."
~ Cree Prophecy

Most of the court-knowledgeable commentators I've watched seem to think the individual mandate will be upheld. Charlie Rose yesterday had four people on, from different points of view, and they all thought it would stand. But that may have been taped before the oral arguments from yesterday were released, and many think the conservative justices were rather skeptical of the mandate. But still, I wouldn't bet a lot that it will be upheld, but I think it will be.

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I think the healthcare decision is up to Kennedy and he will side with the conservatives.

If the Court (Roberts) is really concerned about the perception of it's political bias, it might just allow the mandate. Don't count on that to be the case.

Roberts is utterly unconcerned about bias on the Supreme Court, especially on a case involving such big donors to Republican candidates.