President Obama is doing well in a swing state poll of likely voters. I've only seen the article about it, I haven't read through the poll, yet. In the past, I've considered Quinnipiac to be slightly below top tier in quality.

Swing State Poll

Knocking on doors in Florida is a great way to get yourself killed.

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Unpaid Social Liaison

Romney has to have Florida. Makes me wonder if he'll do a Hail Mary and pick Rubio for his running mate.

Time for Gov. Scott and his crew to figure out more ways to throw likely Democratic voters off the rolls.

Maybe Mitt will choose Rick Scott as his VP!

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Unpaid Social Liaison

Scott would be the perfect Dark Horse. Really dark.

But I think he's going to go with Rob Portman.

I'm not a supporter of Mr. Romney.

And Obama's job approval polls are tanking.

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If you don't stand for something, you'll probably fall for anything.

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Lemon Drop
Scott would be the perfect Dark Horse. Really dark.

But I think he's going to go with Rob Portman.

That would explain why I'm getting robocalls from Portman already. You'd think it's November already. I get perhaps 4-6 robocalls a day. I'm sure it's just going to get worse.

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I'm not a supporter of Mr. Romney.

You'll please forgive my artistic license.

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swampy
And Obama's job approval polls are tanking.

Regarding this poll, your statement does not appear to be true. There are substantial undecided, but Gov. Romney's unfavorables outweigh his favorables, while the opposite is true for President Obama.

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Poll
2. Is your opinion of Mitt Romney favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
LIKELY VOTERS...
FL OH PA

Favorable 41% 40% 39%
Unfavorable 42 43 47
Hvn't hrd enough 14 15 11
REFUSED 3 3 3


3. Is your opinion of Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
LIKELY VOTERS...
FL OH PA

Favorable 50% 51% 53%
Unfavorable 46 45 42
Hvn't hrd enough 2 2 2
REFUSED 2 2 3

The more Romney speaks the better the President's chances become.

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cbelt3

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Lemon Drop
Scott would be the perfect Dark Horse. Really dark.

But I think he's going to go with Rob Portman.

That would explain why I'm getting robocalls from Portman already. You'd think it's November already. I get perhaps 4-6 robocalls a day. I'm sure it's just going to get worse.

Portman seems like the perfect VP pick to me. Ohio's economy is doing better than most, so he can attach himself to that. He has foreign trade experience and can shore up Romney's increasingly obvious lack of talent on the foreign stage. He's got excellent academic cred. He's no drama to the point of being boring- and I think that's important for Romney and Republicans in general given their last VP pick.

It is great to be ahead in August. You are in great company.

[www.rasmussenreports.com]

Rasmussen today

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A president’s Job Approval rating is one of the best indicators for assessing his chances of reelection. Typically, the president’s Job Approval rating on Election Day will be close to the share of the vote he receives. Currently, 47% of voters say they at least somewhat approve of the president's job performance. Fifty-two percent (52%) at least somewhat disapprove

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If you don't stand for something, you'll probably fall for anything.

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swampy
[www.rasmussenreports.com]

Rasmussen today

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A president’s Job Approval rating is one of the best indicators for assessing his chances of reelection. Typically, the president’s Job Approval rating on Election Day will be close to the share of the vote he receives. Currently, 47% of voters say they at least somewhat approve of the president's job performance. Fifty-two percent (52%) at least somewhat disapprove

It's true that Obama's national average in polls right now shows him getting 47% of the vote. However, that does not mean that Romney has 53%. Romney's national average is 45%.
It's a very tight race, really up in the air at this point. But Obama has a slight edge in popular vote and a larger edge in electoral count.

[www.realclearpolitics.com]

No matter how you slice it, fewer people like Romney than Obama.

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john dough
No matter how you slice it, fewer people like Romney than Obama.

Most people aren't even pay attention at this stage. The more America gets to know Mitt, the less it wants to.

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Lemon Drop

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swampy
[www.rasmussenreports.com]

Rasmussen today

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A president’s Job Approval rating is one of the best indicators for assessing his chances of reelection. Typically, the president’s Job Approval rating on Election Day will be close to the share of the vote he receives. Currently, 47% of voters say they at least somewhat approve of the president's job performance. Fifty-two percent (52%) at least somewhat disapprove

It's true that Obama's national average in polls right now shows him getting 47% of the vote. However, that does not mean that Romney has 53%. Romney's national average is 45%.
It's a very tight race, really up in the air at this point. But Obama has a slight edge in popular vote and a larger edge in electoral count.

[www.realclearpolitics.com]

In all fairness, Swampy said Obama's approval ratings are "tanking", which speaks more to a trend than the current standing. That said, I don't see evidence that his approval ratings are tanking, but rather they've dropped over his whole term. They look pretty stable over the last 6 mos. though. kj.

While swampy's citation may reflect a national opinion, the poll I linked, as LD states, seeks to reflect the ability to capture a national electoral victory.

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kj
..."tanking", which speaks more to a trend than the current standing.

Could you please tell me where you found the etymology of this colloquialism?

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August West

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kj
..."tanking", which speaks more to a trend than the current standing.

Could you please tell me where you found the etymology of this colloquialism?

I don't understand why you are asking about the science of insects.

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Ca Bob

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August West

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kj
..."tanking", which speaks more to a trend than the current standing.

Could you please tell me where you found the etymology of this colloquialism?

I don't understand why you are asking about the science of insects.

That's really bugging you, isn't it?


EDIT: quoted the wrong post. :-/

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"Stop thinking about art works as objects, and start thinking about them as triggers for experiences." ~ Brian Eno



Edited 1 time(s). Last edit at 08/01/2012 03:29PM by $tevie.

I don't think we can pay too much attention to polls at this point. It's only just August 1. Personally, I think Romney's going to go down in popularity but it is just too soon to get excited about poll numbers.

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"Stop thinking about art works as objects, and start thinking about them as triggers for experiences." ~ Brian Eno

"Tanking?"

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That's really bugging you, isn't it?

GRRRRR...........

65.5 (2/2009) to 47.9 (8/2012) could be called tanking, yes. I like Obama but let's not pretend his approval rating isn't pretty crapola right now.

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"Stop thinking about art works as objects, and start thinking about them as triggers for experiences." ~ Brian Eno

I still want see Romney's Tax Returns at least 8-10 years worth.

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Ca Bob

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August West

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kj
..."tanking", which speaks more to a trend than the current standing.

Could you please tell me where you found the etymology of this colloquialism?

I don't understand why you are asking about the science of insects.

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MR/F Guestmap: [www.mapservices.org]

oops

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MR/F Guestmap: [www.mapservices.org]

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kj

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Lemon Drop

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swampy
[www.rasmussenreports.com]

Rasmussen today

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A president’s Job Approval rating is one of the best indicators for assessing his chances of reelection. Typically, the president’s Job Approval rating on Election Day will be close to the share of the vote he receives. Currently, 47% of voters say they at least somewhat approve of the president's job performance. Fifty-two percent (52%) at least somewhat disapprove

It's true that Obama's national average in polls right now shows him getting 47% of the vote. However, that does not mean that Romney has 53%. Romney's national average is 45%.
It's a very tight race, really up in the air at this point. But Obama has a slight edge in popular vote and a larger edge in electoral count.

[www.realclearpolitics.com]

In all fairness, Swampy said Obama's approval ratings are "tanking", which speaks more to a trend than the current standing. That said, I don't see evidence that his approval ratings are tanking, but rather they've dropped over his whole term. They look pretty stable over the last 6 mos. though. kj.

Actually not so. Prior to the Republican primaries you'd be hard pressed to find a single poll showing Obama with anything close to a 50% approval rating.

That was Romney's (or any other Republican's) strength. That Obama is now polling above 50% spells the worst case scenario for the right wing that Romney decided to join. The end result might be that he'd better served to have waited until Obama was done.

See any number of also rans - Nixon being the exception - who later went on to become President? Any cites prior to 100 years ago don't count.



Edited 1 time(s). Last edit at 08/02/2012 01:30AM by RgrF.

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RgrF

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kj

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Lemon Drop

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swampy
[www.rasmussenreports.com]

Rasmussen today

Quote

A president’s Job Approval rating is one of the best indicators for assessing his chances of reelection. Typically, the president’s Job Approval rating on Election Day will be close to the share of the vote he receives. Currently, 47% of voters say they at least somewhat approve of the president's job performance. Fifty-two percent (52%) at least somewhat disapprove

It's true that Obama's national average in polls right now shows him getting 47% of the vote. However, that does not mean that Romney has 53%. Romney's national average is 45%.
It's a very tight race, really up in the air at this point. But Obama has a slight edge in popular vote and a larger edge in electoral count.

[www.realclearpolitics.com]

In all fairness, Swampy said Obama's approval ratings are "tanking", which speaks more to a trend than the current standing. That said, I don't see evidence that his approval ratings are tanking, but rather they've dropped over his whole term. They look pretty stable over the last 6 mos. though. kj.

Actually not so. Prior to the Republican primaries you'd be hard pressed to find a single poll showing Obama with anything close to a 50% approval rating.

That was Romney's (or any other Republican's) strength. That Obama is now polling above 50% spells the worst case scenario for the right wing that Romney decided to join. The end result might be that he'd better served to have waited until Obama was done.

See any number of also rans - Nixon being the exception - who later went on to become President? Any cites prior to 100 years ago don't count.

Yes, I wasn't realizing how much a percentage point (or two, or three...or four) is. Big difference between 46 and 50%. It does appear to have been pretty steady though, for quite some time.

Ha, entomology. That was funny. "Tanking" must be a regional thing? Or maybe it's just old, and August is young? kj.

Hey, how about TED CRUZ in Texas? also local candidates. Highest primary runnoff turnout in a long long time.