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Slate report on Exit Polling: "Ten takeaways from Tuesday’s results."
Posted by: Ted King
Date: November 07, 2018 12:13PM
[slate.com]

I'll put the header for each of the ten bullet points, but I think the whole thing is worth a read:

Quote

1. President Trump cost Republicans the House.
2. Brett Kavanaugh hurt Republicans.
3. #MeToo didn’t help Democrats much.
4. The gun issue hurt Republicans.
5. Violence hurt Republicans, but not much.
6. Russia fizzled.
7. Voters don’t share Trump’s hard line on immigration.
8. The problem for Democrats on race is complacency, not hate.
9. The economy cuts both ways.
10. Republicans might be digging themselves into an ideological hole.

#3 - surprised and disappointed me.
#8 - "complacency" on race is a tricky concept
#9 - here's what's under that heading:
Quote

In both surveys, two-thirds of voters said the economy was excellent or good, and these people voted decisively for Republicans. But when the question was framed in personal terms—whether your family is doing better or worse financially—most voters said they were only holding steady or losing ground, and these people voted decisively for Democrats.
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Re: Slate report on Exit Polling: "Ten takeaways from Tuesday’s results."
Posted by: rjmacs
Date: November 07, 2018 12:45PM
Quote
Ted King

Quote

8. The problem for Democrats on race is complacency, not hate.

#8 - "complacency" on race is a tricky concept

It's a weird way to say what they said; this was their summation of

Quote

...roughly a third of voters said that society doesn’t favor any race, and these voters went Republican by more than 2 to 1.

But three paragraphs earlier, they also say

Quote

Anti-Semitic, anti-black, and anti-immigration hate crimes preceded the election, and Trump dealt with them poorly.

It seems weird to call denialism 'complacency.' When racism is everywhere in the news, when racial attacks are commonplace, when disenfranchisement of Black people is a major elector new story, and on and on and on, it's probably not unfair to call anyone who thinks, "society doesn’t favor any race" a racial supremist denier, not a complacent.



rj
AKA
Vreemac, Moth of the Future
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Re: Slate report on Exit Polling: "Ten takeaways from Tuesday’s results."
Posted by: p8712
Date: November 07, 2018 01:21PM
No might about #10. Just suggest a tax increase might be necessary or the government was right about something.
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Re: Slate report on Exit Polling: "Ten takeaways from Tuesday’s results."
Posted by: pdq
Date: November 08, 2018 12:31AM
Don’t assume people are racist just because they are Trump supporters. If you must, assume they are racist because most of them are.
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Re: Slate report on Exit Polling: "Ten takeaways from Tuesday’s results."
Posted by: Ted King
Date: November 09, 2018 10:47AM
Read something kind of related to #3 above:

[www.vox.com]

[snippet]

Quote

Forty-nine percent of white women voted Republican nationwide (49 percent voted Democratic too). Forty-seven percent of white women voted for Gillum, while O’Rourke only received 39 percent and Abrams 25 percent of the white female vote. This early exit poll data follows a disturbing recent political trend: The majority of white women have not been part of a Democratic voting bloc throughout the 2000s.
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Re: Slate report on Exit Polling: "Ten takeaways from Tuesday’s results."
Posted by: Speedy
Date: November 09, 2018 04:45PM
Quote
Ted King
Read something kind of related to #3 above:

[www.vox.com]

[snippet]

Quote

Forty-nine percent of white women voted Republican nationwide (49 percent voted Democratic too). Forty-seven percent of white women voted for Gillum, while O’Rourke only received 39 percent and Abrams 25 percent of the white female vote. This early exit poll data follows a disturbing recent political trend: The majority of white women have not been part of a Democratic voting bloc throughout the 2000s.

Lots of evangelicals voting the way their pastors and husbands tell them.



Saint Cloud, Minnesota, where the weather is wonderful even when it isn't.
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