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NOAA staff warned in Sept. 1 directive against contradicting Trump
Posted by: space-time
Date: September 07, 2019 09:37PM
[www.washingtonpost.com]

Nearly a week before the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration publicly backed President Trump over its own scientists, a top NOAA official warned its staff against contradicting the president.

In an agencywide directive sent Sept. 1 to National Weather Service personnel, hours after Trump asserted, with no evidence, that Alabama “would most likely be hit (much) harder than anticipated,” staff was told to “only stick with official National Hurricane Center forecasts if questions arise from some national level social media posts which hit the news this afternoon.”

They were also told not to “provide any opinion,” according to a copy of the email obtained by The Washington Post.

A NOAA meteorologist who spoke on the condition of anonymity for fear of retribution said the note, understood internally to be referring to Trump, came after the National Weather Service office in Birmingham contradicted Trump by tweeting Alabama would “NOT see any impacts from the hurricane.”
The Birmingham office sent the tweet after receiving a flurry of phone calls from concerned residents following Trump’s message.

The agency sent a similar message warning scientists and meteorologists not to speak out on Sept. 4, after Trump showed a hurricane map from Aug. 29 modified with a hand-drawn, half-circle in black Sharpie around Alabama.

“This is the first time I’ve felt pressure from above to not say what truly is the forecast,” the meteorologist said. “It’s hard for me to wrap my head around. One of the things we train on is to dispel inaccurate rumors and ultimately that is what was occurring — ultimately what the Alabama office did is provide a forecast with their tweet, that is what they get paid to do.”

An NWS spokesperson said, “NWS leadership sent this guidance to field staff so they (and the entire agency) could maintain operational focus on Dorian and other severe weather hazards without distraction.”

Late Friday afternoon, NOAA officials further angered scientists within and beyond the agency by releasing a statement, attributed to an unnamed agency spokesperson, supporting Trump’s claims on Alabama and chastising the agency’s Birmingham meteorologists for speaking in absolutes.

That statement set off a firestorm among scientists, who attacked NOAA officials for bending to Trump’s will.

“This looks like classic politically motivated obfuscation to justify inaccurate statements made by the boss. It is truly sad to see political appointees undermining the superb, lifesaving work of NOAA’s talented and dedicated career servant,” said Jane Lubchenco, who served as NOAA administrator under President Barack Obama.

NOAA, which oversees the National Weather Service, isn’t the first agency in the Trump administration to publicly side with the president after he has doubled down on a widely disputed claim.

But the firestorm surrounding the president’s hurricane statements is unprecedented in the organization’s history, and threatens to politicize something that most Americans take for granted as an objective, if flawed, part of daily life: the weather forecast.

A NOAA official familiar with the matter, who spoke on the condition of anonymity to speak candidly, disputed the suggestion that the statement took sides, saying there was “no political motivation” behind it.

The official said agency leadership had considered making a statement for “a day or two” to clear up confusion. Acting NOAA administrator Neil Jacobs was involved in drawing up the statement as was the NOAA director of public affairs, Julie Kay Roberts, who has experience in emergency management and worked on the president’s campaign.

The leadership of the Commerce Department, headed by Secretary Wilbur Ross, also approved the release, though Ross was out of the country at the time.

The official said the statement called out Birmingham’s tweet because one NOAA hurricane forecast product showed a 5 to 20 percent chance of tropical-storm-force winds in a small part of Alabama.

“It was nothing against Birmingham, we needed to make sure forecast products reflect probabilistic guidance,” the official said, referencing the extremely low odds for tropical storm-force winds.

Such wind speeds, between 39 and 74 mph, rarely cause much damage or require the advance preparation.

The NOAA statement made no reference of the fact that when Trump tweeted that Alabama was at risk, the state was not in the National Hurricane Center’s “cone of uncertainty,” which forecasters use to determine where the storm is most likely to hit. Alabama also had not appeared in the cone in the days before that.

The acting NOAA director briefed the president on Hurricane Dorian on Aug. 29, using the forecast cone that the White House later adapted via Sharpie marker.

The director of the National Hurricane Center briefed the president on the storm’s likely track again on Sept. 1, shortly after his tweet about the threat to Alabama.

At other times, Trump was briefed by individuals, including the White House homeland security and counterterrorism adviser, who lacked the meteorological expertise to interpret what they were showing.

“If the president had been briefed by someone who understands the forecast, he never would’ve mentioned Alabama,” the NOAA official said.

NOAA’s Friday statement infuriated scientists, who worry the Trump administration is corroding faith in research and data.

“It makes me speechless that the leadership would put [Trump’s] feelings and ego ahead of putting out weather information accurately,” said Michael Halpern, a deputy director at the Union of Concerned Scientists. “If we’re politicizing the weather what is there left to politicize? We’re seeing this kind of clamp down of scientists across the government, and it’s been an escalating trend.”

In 2018, a survey of scientists at 16 federal agencies found a culture of fear and self-censorship in an administration that has sidelined scientific evidence, especially as it related to climate change, in favor of political expediency.

Keith Seitter, executive director of the American Meteorological Society, said in a statement that “the criticism of the Birmingham forecast office is unwarranted; rather they should have been commended for their quick action based on science in clearly communicating the lack of threat to the citizens of Alabama.”

One of the strongest reactions to the NOAA statement came from David Titley, an atmospheric scientist who served as the chief operating officer of NOAA under Obama.

“Perhaps the darkest day ever for leadership. Don’t know how they will ever look their workforce in the eye again. Moral cowardice,” he tweeted.


Others who weighed in on social media were also scathing in their response to NOAA’s decision to publicly defend Trump.

“I have never been so embarrassed by NOAA. What they did is just disgusting,” Dan Sobien, president of the National Weather Service’s labor union, wrote on Twitter Friday. “Let me assure you the hard working employees of the NWS had nothing to do with the utterly disgusting and disingenuous tweet sent out by NOAA management tonight.”

A popular television broadcast meteorologist in Birmingham also came to the defense of his city’s National Weather Service team.

“The tweet from NWS Birmingham was spot on and accurate,” James Spann tweeted. “If they are coming after them, they might as well come after me. How in the world has it come to this?”

On Saturday, the National Weather Service leadership seemingly tried to address the outcry in an all-hands letter to its employees to thank them for their hard work during the hurricane. The letter, obtained by The Washington Post, assured employees they were valued.

“We want to assure you that we stand behind our entire workforce and the integrity of the forecast process, including the incredible scientific, technical and engineering skill you demonstrated for this event,” the NWS leadership wrote. “We saw first hand that our integrated forecast process works, and we continue to embrace and uphold the essential integrity of the entire forecast process as it was applied by ALL NWS offices to ensure public safety first and foremost.”
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Re: NOAA staff warned in Sept. 1 directive against contradicting Trump
Posted by: Steve G.
Date: September 07, 2019 09:43PM
"The official said agency leadership had considered making a statement for “a day or two” to clear up confusion. Acting NOAA administrator Neil Jacobs was involved in drawing up the statement as was the NOAA director of public affairs, Julie Kay Roberts, who has experience in emergency management and worked on the president’s campaign. "
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Re: NOAA staff warned in Sept. 1 directive against contradicting Trump
Posted by: Acer
Date: September 07, 2019 09:47PM
Going forward, all forecasts will be vetted by the White House with a fresh Sharpie before being made public.
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Re: NOAA staff warned in Sept. 1 directive against contradicting Trump
Posted by: Steve G.
Date: September 07, 2019 09:55PM
Trump has managed to make "Sharpie" a misnomer.

With Trump's endorsement, it will now be called a "Dummie".



Edited 1 time(s). Last edit at 09/07/2019 09:57PM by Steve G..
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Re: NOAA staff warned in Sept. 1 directive against contradicting Trump
Posted by: Steve G.
Date: September 08, 2019 01:31PM
fits right in, doesn't it?

good comment:
Trump’s summer (partial list)…

Boasted about War of 1812 air force
Racist attacks on the Squad
Insulted Baltimore
Said doctors came out of the operating room to greet him

Trump at the G7
Lied about call from China
Lied about nuking hurricanes
Lied about Melanie knowing NK’s Kim
Lied about why he missed the climate meeting
Suggested violating the emoluments clause
.
Called Jewish Americans disloyal or stupid
Suggested the Fed chair is an enemy
Lied about Hurricane Dorian’s path
Altered a map with a sharpie like a child would do
Lied about where Pence should stay in Ireland
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Re: NOAA staff warned in Sept. 1 directive against contradicting Trump
Posted by: S. Pupp
Date: September 08, 2019 03:49PM
Dementia is a serious illness.
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Re: NOAA staff warned in Sept. 1 directive against contradicting Trump
Posted by: pdq
Date: September 09, 2019 03:49PM
It was Wilbur Ross:

Quote

Mr. Ross, the commerce secretary, intervened two days [after Trump was contradicted]...according to the three people familiar with his actions. Mr. Ross phoned Neil Jacobs, the acting administrator of NOAA, from Greece where the secretary was traveling for meetings and instructed Dr. Jacobs to fix the agency’s perceived contradiction of the president.

Dr. Jacobs objected to the demand and was told that the political staff at NOAA would be fired if the situation was not fixed, according to the three individuals...

Was Ross carrying out orders from Trump? Or did Ross just know the Orange One would inevitably flip out over this?

Does it matter? We live in a f’in kakistocracy.
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Re: NOAA staff warned in Sept. 1 directive against contradicting Trump
Posted by: deckeda
Date: September 09, 2019 05:21PM
One of these days maybe we'll have people working for us who don't mind so much looking for another job in order to tell the Moron in Chief "no."

That being said, I don't feel as if they're worried about "financial or career security" so much as really, kinda, sorta, not so much actually caring whether or not they're on the wrong side of history, let alone anything larger than their selfish actions.

**************

Going deeper, if not a bit darker, pair of me wants there to be some Master List of everyone who since at least 2016 has knowingly helped Trump lie. An nice Excel doc ... on this day, you did this because of Trump and here's why it's wrong. It would make the Mueller Report look like a preamble rough draft.
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Re: NOAA staff warned in Sept. 1 directive against contradicting Trump
Posted by: maco
Date: September 10, 2019 11:42AM
Painting the roses red
We're painting the roses red
Don't tell the Queen what you have seen
Or say that's what we said
But we're painting the roses red
Yes, painting the roses red
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Re: NOAA staff warned in Sept. 1 directive against contradicting Trump
Posted by: Steve G.
Date: September 10, 2019 04:24PM
funny, I was singing that to myself today after Bolton was executed

(full lyrics)

Painting the Roses Red
Lyrics from Alice in Wonderland
Music and Lyrics by Sammy Fain and Bob Hilliard
Performed by The Mellomen and Kathryn Beaumont
Alice, Cards

[Cards:] Painting the roses red
We're painting the roses red
We dare not stop or waste a drop
So let the paint be spread

We're painting the roses red
We're painting the roses red

Painting the roses red
And many a tear we shed
[Three:] Because we know
[Two:] They'll cease to grow
[Ace:] In fact, they'll soon be dead
[Cards:] And yet we go ahead
Painting the roses red

Painting the roses red
We're painting the roses red
[Alice:] Oh, pardon me, but mister three
Why must you paint them red?

[Cards:] The queen, she likes them red
If she saw white instead
She'd raise a fuss, and each of us
Would quickly lose his head
Since this is the thought we dread
We're painting the roses red

[Alice:] Painting the roses red
[All:] We're painting the roses red
[All:] Don't tell the queen what you have seen
Or say that's what we said
But we're painting the roses red

[Alice:] Yes, painting the roses red
[Two:] Not pink
[Three:] Not green
[Alice:] Not aquamarine
[All:] We're painting the roses red



Edited 1 time(s). Last edit at 09/10/2019 04:25PM by Steve G..
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