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1/3rd of all tests in Miami-Dade County coming back positive...
Posted by: Sarcany
Date: July 11, 2020 04:57PM
[gizmodo.com]

...UF Health Jacksonville infection prevention director Chad Neilsen told CBS he was concerned that existing supplies of rapid test kits may run out at his hospital within two weeks because they are being used faster than companies can produce them.

On Thursday, Yahoo News reported that internal Centers for Disease Control and Prevention documents listed Miami-Dade as one of the biggest outbreaks in the country and an “area of concern”—meaning caseloads are high and growing. Of the 10 counties listed in the documents as areas of concern, Miami-Dade ranks seventh in “incidence rate” but at 24,236 cases in the two weeks preceding July 9 it far outstrips the others in absolute terms, per Yahoo. It is also by far the largest, with a population of 2.7 million...

Harvard Global Health Institute director Dr. Ashish Jha told CBS News that the high rates of positive cases reflects that Florida “is not testing” and that statewide “one out of five tests that they’re doing is turning out positive. That means that there are a lot of cases out there that the testing infrastructure is missing.”


So, oddly enough, lack of sufficient testing is now linked with growing numbers of cases and more cases found with the fewer tests being done.

But that's not the way that it's supposed to work!

Is is possible that testing less is NOT resulting in fewer cases??!



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Re: 1/3rd of all tests in Miami-Dade County coming back positive...
Posted by: Lemon Drop
Date: July 11, 2020 05:21PM
Not good.
South Carolina's percent positive has ranged from 15 to 23% for the past 2 weeks as total cases keep going up (over 2,000 new cases yesterday). We're a really small state. This is terrible.

Labs are backed up significantly due to demand.

I just emailed Gov. McMaster urging him to mandate masks for the entire state. He could save thousands of lives this summer and fall. Our IHME estimate is over 4,000 deaths by Nov 1 is no measures are put in place, but that drops to 1,600 with a universal mask mandate.

Why on earth would any governor not take this incredibly simple and highly effective step to save lives??

Instead, he orders bars to close at 11 PM. Oh geez thanks guv. (I was more diplomatic in my email)
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Re: 1/3rd of all tests in Miami-Dade County coming back positive...
Posted by: bfd
Date: July 11, 2020 06:39PM
Sad. At least here in Cali the guv'ner's willing to make the orders. We've had the mask order since May 1. Despite that, however, usage remains quite variable 'in public', but at least it's mandated and enforced in places of business like stores, malls, etc. Wearing a mask doesn't work well for patrons in bars and restaurants, though workers in those places still have to wear them.

So much of this seems bound up with what side of the political fence one is on. There should be no politics where public health is concerned… yet here in the land of the free, home of the brave, and minds of the double-digit IQ it's apparently quite a challenging concept for far too many. And as long as everyone can't get behind this simple strategy to slow the bug to a crawl, we'll continue to see these dangerous spikes.
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Re: 1/3rd of all tests in Miami-Dade County coming back positive...
Posted by: RgrF
Date: July 11, 2020 09:11PM
Sad. At least here in Cali the guv'ner's willing to make the orders.

He had it, did it right and then turned into a spineless jellyfish. He didn't have the political chops that a Jerry Brown might have had to see his initial instincts through!
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Re: 1/3rd of all tests in Miami-Dade County coming back positive...
Posted by: Ombligo
Date: July 12, 2020 11:16AM
My County has no rapid result test kits at all, the state never allocated them to the smaller counties. Our health department can only do 100 tests per day and there is a 12-day backlog waiting to be tested. Results take 7-9 days.

We are running with a 22% positive result since July 1 - but those results were from tests done in June due to the aforementioned backlog.



“No persons are more frequently wrong, than those who will not admit they are wrong.”
-- François de La Rochefoucauld
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Re: 1/3rd of all tests in Miami-Dade County coming back positive...
Posted by: Lemon Drop
Date: July 12, 2020 11:34AM
Quote
Ombligo
My County has no rapid result test kits at all, the state never allocated them to the smaller counties. Our health department can only do 100 tests per day and there is a 12-day backlog waiting to be tested. Results take 7-9 days.

We are running with a 22% positive result since July 1 - but those results were from tests done in June due to the aforementioned backlog.


There is no point to doing testing at all in the scenario you describe. Infected people will already be sick or in the hospital (if they're going to get sick) before results are back, asymptomatic people will have already spread the virus but would no longer test positive if re-tested.
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Re: 1/3rd of all tests in Miami-Dade County coming back positive...
Posted by: Speedy
Date: July 13, 2020 06:56PM
Quote
Lemon Drop
There is no point to doing testing at all in the scenario you describe.

Which, of course, is the Republican plan.



Saint Cloud, Minnesota, where the weather is wonderful even when it isn't.
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