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The map changes again...
Posted by: PeterB
Date: July 12, 2020 10:43AM
[www.270towin.com]

... according to current averages, he needs ALL of AZ, FL, NC, and WI to win... previously he needed just FL.

Obviously, it's still early yet, but not looking good for the orange fool.




Freya says, 'Hello from NOLA, baby!' (Laissez bon temps rouler!)



Edited 1 time(s). Last edit at 07/12/2020 10:44AM by PeterB.
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Re: The map changes again...
Posted by: Ombligo
Date: July 12, 2020 10:58AM
Current consensus polling:

AZ - Biden +2.4
FL - Biden +6.2
NC - Biden +3.4
WI - Biden +8.1

But now is not the time to get complacent



“No persons are more frequently wrong, than those who will not admit they are wrong.”
-- François de La Rochefoucauld
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Re: The map changes again...
Posted by: PeterB
Date: July 12, 2020 11:44AM
Quote
Ombligo
Current consensus polling:

AZ - Biden +2.4
FL - Biden +6.2
NC - Biden +3.4
WI - Biden +8.1

But now is not the time to get complacent

Of course.

270towin also provides averages by state as a function of time, which is interesting in itself [www.270towin.com] ... for example, how the polling has changed by virtue of the number of infections.

The current polling map looks quite different, of course: [www.270towin.com]




Freya says, 'Hello from NOLA, baby!' (Laissez bon temps rouler!)
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Re: The map changes again...
Posted by: Ombligo
Date: July 12, 2020 12:09PM
just the fact that Texas and Georgia are in play says how bad he is doing.



“No persons are more frequently wrong, than those who will not admit they are wrong.”
-- François de La Rochefoucauld
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Re: The map changes again...
Posted by: Lemon Drop
Date: July 12, 2020 02:29PM
This will be a political earthquake if it happens, but Texas looks winnable for Biden:

[www.cnn.com]

Last Dem presidential candidate to win Texas was Carter in 1976. Hillary lost it by 10.
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Re: The map changes again...
Posted by: PeterB
Date: July 12, 2020 03:37PM
Quote
Lemon Drop
This will be a political earthquake if it happens, but Texas looks winnable for Biden:

[www.cnn.com]

Last Dem presidential candidate to win Texas was Carter in 1976. Hillary lost it by 10.

I can just see it now ... the Trump Walk of Fail, circa 1/20/2021. Even better than the Tulsa Trump Walk of Fail.




Freya says, 'Hello from NOLA, baby!' (Laissez bon temps rouler!)
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Re: The map changes again...
Posted by: Lemon Drop
Date: July 12, 2020 03:42PM
Quote
PeterB
Quote
Lemon Drop
This will be a political earthquake if it happens, but Texas looks winnable for Biden:

[www.cnn.com]

Last Dem presidential candidate to win Texas was Carter in 1976. Hillary lost it by 10.

I can just see it now ... the Trump Walk of Fail, circa 1/20/2021. Even better than the Tulsa Trump Walk of Fail.

I want to see that!! I have a feeling he won't show up for Biden's inauguration though. May call in sick.
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Re: The map changes again...
Posted by: Filliam H. Muffman
Date: July 12, 2020 03:51PM
Do not forget that the previous polls missed almost 3% silent/ashamed Cheeto supporters. Biden needs to be up by at least 4% in all those states at the end of October.



In tha 360. MRF User Map
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Re: The map changes again...
Posted by: PeterB
Date: July 12, 2020 03:54PM
Quote
Filliam H. Muffman
Do not forget that the previous polls missed almost 3% silent/ashamed Cheeto supporters. Biden needs to be up by at least 4% in all those states at the end of October.

Agreed. And there's a disturbing number of undecideds in a number of states ... 13% ?!? How can 1 in 10 people not have figured out which side they're on by now???




Freya says, 'Hello from NOLA, baby!' (Laissez bon temps rouler!)
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Re: The map changes again...
Posted by: samintx
Date: July 12, 2020 06:00PM
Quote
Lemon Drop
This will be a political earthquake if it happens, but Texas looks winnable for Biden:

[www.cnn.com]

Last Dem presidential candidate to win Texas was Carter in 1976. Hillary lost it by 10.

You should hear all the bellyaching from republican bigwigs here in TX.
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Re: The map changes again...
Posted by: Sam3
Date: July 13, 2020 06:52AM
They are undecided because they are Republican die-hards that are thinking that they may have to do the unthinkable, actually vote for a DEMON-crat.



The arts are not luxuries but assets that give way more than they cost.
--Ronald Tucker on YouTube

A mind is like a parachute. It doesn't work if it is not open.
--Frank Zappa
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Re: The map changes again...
Posted by: RgrF
Date: July 13, 2020 06:58AM
Speaking of maps...



A new way of assigning loyalties (sorry no idea how to reduce the size of that map)



Edited 1 time(s). Last edit at 07/13/2020 07:00AM by RgrF.
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Re: The map changes again...
Posted by: pdq
Date: July 13, 2020 12:01PM
Quote
RgrF
Speaking of maps...
A new way of assigning loyalties (sorry no idea how to reduce the size of that map)



[*img size=400]https://multifiles.pressherald.com/uploads/sites/10/2020/07/American-Nations-Today-map-2015-ver.jpg[/img]

Add “size= [desired pixels in width] ” as above, no bold and remove the leading asterisk.
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Re: The map changes again...
Posted by: PeterB
Date: July 13, 2020 12:31PM
Hey! I live in New France! (Whatever that means...)




Freya says, 'Hello from NOLA, baby!' (Laissez bon temps rouler!)
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Re: The map changes again...
Posted by: Ted King
Date: July 13, 2020 12:44PM
Quote
PeterB
Hey! I live in New France! (Whatever that means...)

It means you want to secede from Canada. winking smiley
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Re: The map changes again...
Posted by: PeterB
Date: July 13, 2020 02:10PM
Quote
Ted King
Quote
PeterB
Hey! I live in New France! (Whatever that means...)

It means you want to secede from Canada. winking smiley

Or maybe I should just move to Canada. I hear they're handling the virus much better than we are.




Freya says, 'Hello from NOLA, baby!' (Laissez bon temps rouler!)
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Re: The map changes again...
Posted by: RgrF
Date: July 13, 2020 06:03PM
Quote
PeterB
Quote
Ted King
Quote
PeterB
Hey! I live in New France! (Whatever that means...)

It means you want to secede from Canada. winking smiley

Or maybe I should just move to Canada. I hear they're handling the virus much better than we are.

Under that criteria, you could move almost anywhere but not today and not with a US passport.

BTW: the map and accompanying article was from the Portland Maine Press Herald - don't know where the link went.
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Re: The map changes again...
Posted by: PeterB
Date: July 13, 2020 07:26PM
Quote
RgrF
Quote
PeterB
Quote
Ted King
Quote
PeterB
Hey! I live in New France! (Whatever that means...)

It means you want to secede from Canada. winking smiley

Or maybe I should just move to Canada. I hear they're handling the virus much better than we are.

Under that criteria, you could move almost anywhere but not today and not with a US passport.

BTW: the map and accompanying article was from the Portland Maine Press Herald - don't know where the link went.

I believe I could still go to Guam or the Northern Marianas, and they're handling the corona pretty well...




Freya says, 'Hello from NOLA, baby!' (Laissez bon temps rouler!)
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