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spread'em.....wide?!....the Sturgis event may have caused 250,000 cases......
Posted by: NewtonMP2100
Date: September 08, 2020 02:33PM
.....and $12 billion in health care costs.....


Sturgis motorcycle rally spread coronavirus across the nation, leading to $12 billion in health care costs

.....In early August, more than 460,000 motorcycle enthusiasts converged on Sturgis, S.D., for a 10-day celebration where few wore facial coverings or practiced social distancing. A month later, researchers have found that thousands have been sickened across the nation, leading them to brand the Sturgis rally a “superspreader” event.

They estimate that dealing with the fallout from the rally will involve more than $12 billion in health care costs.

“The spread of the virus due to the event was large,” the authors write, because it hosted people from all over the country. But the severity of the spread was closely tied to the approaches to the pandemic by Sturgis attendees’ home states. In some places, any spread related to people returning from the rally was blunted by strong mitigation measures, like a face-mask mandate or a prohibition against indoor dining.

The findings come in a new paper, “The Contagion Externality of a Superspreading Event: The Sturgis Motorcycle Rally and COVID-19,” published by IZA — Institute of Labor Economics, a German think tank. Its four authors are all researchers affiliated with American universities.

It is not clear if the study was subject to peer review. Researchers contacted by Yahoo News did not immediately respond to requests for an interview.

The rally was held in a state whose governor, Kristi Noem, is a close Trump supporter and, like the president, a skeptic of many coronavirus mitigation measures, such as the wearing of face masks. And while the rally itself had no political orientation, Trump has made overtures to bikers, even inviting some to ride at the White House. At the Sturgis rally, a group called Bikers for Trump registered voters.

The new research paper contains an unlikely but telling quotation from Steve Harwell, singer for the band Smash Mouth, which performed at this year’s rally: “Now we’re all here together tonight. And we’re being human once again. F*** that COVID s***.” Trump used a Smash Mouth song during the 2016 campaign; the band played at the Lincoln Memorial ahead of his 2017 presidential inauguration.

Many of the researchers behind the Sturgis study previously examined the protests against police brutality that swept across the nation earlier this summer. Many Trump supporters wondered why neither the media nor public health professionals condemned those protests, when they seemed to plainly contravene social distancing guidelines. But most people at those protests wore masks, and there was virtually no indoor socializing of the kind that aerosol scientists say poses the highest risk of viral transmission. That combination prevented those protests from becoming superspreader events.......



at.....what.......cost........?!



_____________________________________

I reject your reality and substitute my own!



Edited 1 time(s). Last edit at 09/08/2020 05:25PM by NewtonMP2100.
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Re: spread'em.....wide?!....the Sturgis event may have caused 250,000 cases......
Posted by: cbelt3
Date: September 08, 2020 05:04PM
It’s estimation with insufficient data and the assumption of causation. This kind of approach does a major disservice to the severity of actual events like this.

Wait a month for the contact tracing from actual attendees to gain true data.
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Re: spread'em.....wide?!....the Sturgis event may have caused 250,000 cases......
Posted by: RgrF
Date: September 08, 2020 05:15PM
What to expect after all it is Yahoo News.
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Re: spread'em.....wide?!....the Sturgis event may have caused 250,000 cases......
Posted by: Ted King
Date: September 08, 2020 05:21PM
Quote
cbelt3
It’s estimation with insufficient data and the assumption of causation. This kind of approach does a major disservice to the severity of actual events like this.

Wait a month for the contact tracing from actual attendees to gain true data.

It seems like there are some significant assumptions that underlie the choice of data methodology and assumptions that underlie the analysis of the data. Those assumptions may or may not be kosher; it would be reassuring to have had this study go through peer review.
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Re: spread'em.....wide?!....the Sturgis event may have caused 250,000 cases......
Posted by: pdq
Date: September 08, 2020 05:23PM
Quote
NewtonMP2100
.....and $12 million in health care costs.....

Sturgis motorcycle rally spread coronavirus across the nation, leading to $12 billion in health care costs[/b]

They estimate that dealing with the fallout from the rally will involve more than $12 billion in health care costs

Million or billion?
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Re: spread'em.....wide?!....the Sturgis event may have caused 250,000 cases......
Posted by: Speedy
Date: September 08, 2020 10:39PM
Quote
pdq
Quote
NewtonMP2100
.....and $12 million in health care costs.....

Sturgis motorcycle rally spread coronavirus across the nation, leading to $12 billion in health care costs[/b]

They estimate that dealing with the fallout from the rally will involve more than $12 billion in health care costs

Million or billion?

Billion. Because it was mostly outdoors, I didn’t think it would be a superspreader event. I guess I was wrong.



Saint Cloud, Minnesota, where the weather is wonderful even when it isn't.



Edited 1 time(s). Last edit at 09/08/2020 10:41PM by Speedy.
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Re: spread'em.....wide?!....the Sturgis event may have caused 250,000 cases......
Posted by: NewtonMP2100
Date: September 08, 2020 10:55PM
.....billions [ sorry typo ].......



_____________________________________

I reject your reality and substitute my own!
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Re: spread'em.....wide?!....the Sturgis event may have caused 250,000 cases......
Posted by: $tevie
Date: September 09, 2020 03:47PM
Quote
RgrF
What to expect after all it is Yahoo News.
It's being reported everywhere.

But it's a non-peer-reviewed study and merely an estimate, the exact sort of thing we've been told to be skeptical about. I am sorry that everyone has decided to run with it because it's fuel for the fire of the people who think the virus has been over-hyped.



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