Nope. The system is a Pay as You Go system
Quarterly estimates are based on income for the QUARTER only.
They will usually call you on it regardless. My income always varies because it is commission. Even when I included all the documentation about the seesaw nature, I got a letter requesting exactly what it was I sent them, which was proof that the final total I made did not include income received from any quarters in which I had not already paid the tax on.
You must be within 10% of your projected by the 3rd quarter (of tax sent) to be on target. So even if your total results in a refund, your not paying the tax on April 15th (for 1st quarter) will result in a cumulative minor penalty.
One of the ways I headed this off when I was married, was to have the wife over-withheld. That way, if we cashed stock, the tax was already "done" and would result, 3 months later, in having already pumped money into the system for that quarter that already covered the distribution (or very close).
I've been called on it multiple times. The letter on round two was accepted, and that was the end of story. I've never been audited either.
This is either a random thing or perhaps there is simply a threshold of $$$ for which does not cause a flag.
For me, during this phase, there was a consistent income of about $50k, and an income that annually would shift from $70 to $120k, which caused wide swings in each quarter and consequently, what was due.
There may have been a rule change. I won't question that. Since I've been part of other companies for the last 5+ years (still same biz, but "an employee with a base, plus commission") the taxes are always removed at the time they come in, on a monthly basis, and I don't file any "self employment" docs as a result.
I'm assuming that you are self-employed, that is why you are paying quarterly, either as an S-Corp/LLC or just a DBA.
IRS rules about having 90% of the tax you owe PAID by the time you file are still the rule. That is the whole point of the quarterly filing to begin with. In days past, people had already spent their "taxes due" from their income, and so, instead of only having to cough it up 1x/year, the quarterly system evolved.