Remember the talk that "Trump will do anything to win?" That still applies.

Likewise... I have a very sick to my stomach feeling about tomorrow, Thursday November 6th and NV count announcements.

Nevada says they aren't going to make any more updates until Noon EST tomorrow, ostensibly while they count the absentees. I don't know if that's cover for shenanigans or just how they chose to handle it. I think it's the latter.

This evening, MI, AZ, and GA are expected to update close to final results. MI and AZ should go to Biden, and if GA's uncounted votes from the Atlanta area flip it to Biden, he will then have 280 votes and win without needing final results from NV, or PA. And even if the WI recount results in a loss, he'll be at 270 and still win.

So, tonight, it looks like GA will be the key.

And if he does eventually win WI, MI, AZ, NV, PA, and GA he'll have 306 votes, about what Trump had in 2016 and bragged as being a landslide.

The state needs to count mailed votes received yesterday (everything up to Nov 2 has been counted), provisional ballots, and any mail ballots delivered today or in the next week.

Given the close count, there will be a recount in any case.

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“No persons are more frequently wrong, than those who will not admit they are wrong.”
-- François de La Rochefoucauld

Growing older is mandatory. Growing up is optional.

Unfortunately, I still don't think this is in the bag for Joe. PA, NC, GA may all end up going for Dump, then if he gets any of NV, AZ, or MI, it's over.

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Freya says, 'Hello from NOLA, baby!' (Laissez bon temps rouler!)

It’s not in the bag until the winner is sworn in on Jan. 20.

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Saint Cloud, Minnesota, where the weather is wonderful even when it isn't.

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GGD
This evening, MI, AZ, and GA are expected to update close to final results. MI and AZ should go to Biden, and if GA's uncounted votes from the Atlanta area flip it to Biden, he will then have 280 votes and win without needing final results from NV, or PA. And even if the WI recount results in a loss, he'll be at 270 and still win.

So, tonight, it looks like GA will be the key.

And if he does eventually win WI, MI, AZ, NV, PA, and GA he'll have 306 votes, about what Trump had in 2016 and bragged as being a landslide.

Again I say, from what I have seen, GA isn’t happening, which is a shame, but not a surprise at all.
I think the most likely key state will be NV.

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Roswell, GA (Atlanta suburb)

NY Times has called both Wisconsin and Michigan for Joe, but for some reason, they aren't calling Arizona or Nevada yet.

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Skill without imagination is craftsmanship. Imagination without skill is Modern Art.

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Speedy
It’s not in the bag until the winner is sworn in on Jan. 20.

You're assuming 1) that the winner is clear and not disputed; and 2) that there IS a declared winner come Jan. 20.

And it looks like MI has indeed gone to Biden: [www.nytimes.com]

The problem as I see it is that Biden's chances of getting GA or NC are low, that leaves PA, AZ, NV, and of those, the one he's likely to get is AZ. That leaves it up to PA and NV.

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Freya says, 'Hello from NOLA, baby!' (Laissez bon temps rouler!)



Edited 1 time(s). Last edit at 11/04/2020 04:14PM by PeterB.

MI has been called for Biden by all media outlets.

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PeterB

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Speedy
It’s not in the bag until the winner is sworn in on Jan. 20.

You're assuming 1) that the winner is clear and not disputed; and 2) that there IS a declared winner come Jan. 20.

And it looks like MI has indeed gone to Biden: [www.nytimes.com]

The problem as I see it is that Biden's chances of getting GA or NC are low, that leaves PA, AZ, NV, and of those, the one he's likely to get is AZ. That leaves it up to PA and NV.

For what it's worth, The Arizona Republic newspaper has called it for Biden - updated 3:48PM Mountain Time:

[www.azcentral.com]

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Arizona voted for Joe Biden, giving the Democratic presidential candidate its 11 electoral votes. Mark Kelly is the state's new U.S. senator. But other races and winners are still being sorted out this Wednesday, the day after.

Nevada is now back to saying that they'll release more result tomorrow at 9AM Eastern. Nothing new expected today.