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Kaiser Family Foundation on Vaccine distribution by 1 April
Posted by: numbered
Date: February 18, 2021 05:56PM
KFF thinks it is gonna get better fast with the promises Pfizer and Moderna have made for delivery, and this does not count J&J. (Last nite on Rachel Dr. Kessler said he is working on J&J issues but would not answer Rachel on numbers of vaccines available. )

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Pfizer has said that it expects to deliver 120 million doses to the U.S. by the end of March, 20 million ahead of its original schedule. Moderna has said it will deliver 100 million doses. Assuming these production schedules hold, that means that 220 million doses, enough to fully vaccinate 110 million people, will be delivered within a month and a half from today.

To date, just over 70 million doses have been delivered to states. This leaves close to 150 million doses still to be delivered by the end of March, which translates into about 3.3 million doses, on average, per day between now and then, or almost double the recent pace of daily vaccinations (see Figure). This could substantially ease waiting lists for vaccination appointments and accommodate broader eligibility, assuming the distribution system continues to expand and smooth out as well.

About J&J the word is only a couple million doses will be available in the first weeks. They have contract for 100m by the end of June.

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After the vaccine’s expected FDA emergency authorization in early March, the company will have just “a few million” doses ready to go, President Joe Biden's coronavirus response coordinator, Jeffrey Zients, said at a press briefing, as quoted by the New York Times.

J&J’s contract with the federal government, inked last summer, calls for the drugmaker to deliver 100 million doses by the end of June. But it's now looking like deliveries will be “back-end loaded,” Zients said.
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