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peligrosa?!....Pelosi lands in Taiwan....
Posted by: NewtonMP2100
Date: August 02, 2022 10:28AM
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Re: peligrosa?!....Pelosi lands in Taiwan....
Posted by: Acer
Date: August 02, 2022 11:27AM
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Re: peligrosa?!....Pelosi lands in Taiwan....
Posted by: hal
Date: August 02, 2022 12:24PM
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Re: peligrosa?!....Pelosi lands in Taiwan....
Posted by: Michael
Date: August 02, 2022 04:50PM
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Re: peligrosa?!....Pelosi lands in Taiwan....
Posted by: hal
Date: August 02, 2022 05:08PM
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Re: peligrosa?!....Pelosi lands in Taiwan....
Posted by: Lemon Drop
Date: August 02, 2022 05:25PM
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Re: peligrosa?!....Pelosi lands in Taiwan....
Posted by: vision63
Date: August 02, 2022 05:30PM
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Re: peligrosa?!....Pelosi lands in Taiwan....
Posted by: hal
Date: August 02, 2022 05:51PM
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Quote
vision63
I read that. Also the piece in sfgate. These guys have spent the last umpteen years speculating and pontificating about the hidden strategies of Putin, Trump, even Biden. Like the win a prize if they guess right.
But with Pelosi, there are no scenarios, no through-the-looking-glass observations. There's no trying to understand her motives, strategies, game plans or end games.
Pelosi is a mastermind the levels of which they've never seen or experienced before. They've never seen a Speaker control their caucus, even in the minority, with the precision and determination that she elicits. They always have to bring it down to some simple-minded level where they are. Ooh, look at how much money she has. Now they can write their story because they're the Geo-Political experts and not her.
I feel like, if you're gonna write a story about this, write the whole story.
Re: peligrosa?!....Pelosi lands in Taiwan....
Posted by: bfd
Date: August 02, 2022 07:26PM
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Re: peligrosa?!....Pelosi lands in Taiwan....
Posted by: Acer
Date: August 02, 2022 07:59PM
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Re: peligrosa?!....Pelosi lands in Taiwan....
Posted by: AllGold
Date: August 02, 2022 09:38PM
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Re: peligrosa?!....Pelosi lands in Taiwan....
Posted by: $tevie
Date: August 02, 2022 11:11PM
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Re: peligrosa?!....Pelosi lands in Taiwan....
Posted by: testcase
Date: August 02, 2022 11:57PM
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Re: peligrosa?!....Pelosi lands in Taiwan....
Posted by: gadje
Date: August 03, 2022 06:20AM
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Re: peligrosa?!....Pelosi lands in Taiwan....
Posted by: Acer
Date: August 03, 2022 08:04AM
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Re: peligrosa?!....Pelosi lands in Taiwan....
Posted by: gadje
Date: August 03, 2022 11:22AM
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Re: peligrosa?!....Pelosi lands in Taiwan....
Posted by: kj
Date: August 03, 2022 02:53PM
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Re: peligrosa?!....Pelosi lands in Taiwan....
Posted by: vision63
Date: August 03, 2022 02:58PM
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Re: peligrosa?!....Pelosi lands in Taiwan....
Posted by: NewtonMP2100
Date: August 03, 2022 03:06PM
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Re: peligrosa?!....Pelosi lands in Taiwan....
Posted by: kj
Date: August 03, 2022 03:22PM
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Quote
NewtonMP2100
....they've already....'absorbed'......Hong Kong......giving back to them was a huge.....mistake...
Re: peligrosa?!....Pelosi lands in Taiwan....
Posted by: hal
Date: August 03, 2022 04:16PM
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Re: peligrosa?!....Pelosi lands in Taiwan....
Posted by: RgrF
Date: August 03, 2022 04:35PM
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kj
Quote
NewtonMP2100
....they've already....'absorbed'......Hong Kong......giving back to them was a huge.....mistake...
Afaik, they had every right to Hong Kong. Taiwan is very different.
It seems China is pretty aggressive as far as collecting new territory, one way or another, so Taiwan may be kind of a line in the sand. Taiwan may also be an important ally financially too, but I don't know to what extent. Our economy seems to benefit quite a bit from Taiwanese companies (e.g. TSMC, etc.). If they were to gain control of those kinds of tech companies, that could be a huge problem.
Actually, after looking it up, I don't think one could overstate the importance of tech like TSMC continuing to be independent. It's like the new oil.
Re: peligrosa?!....Pelosi lands in Taiwan....
Posted by: kj
Date: August 03, 2022 04:44PM
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Re: peligrosa?!....Pelosi lands in Taiwan....
Posted by: kj
Date: August 03, 2022 04:53PM
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Quote
RgrF
Quote
kj
Quote
NewtonMP2100
....they've already....'absorbed'......Hong Kong......giving back to them was a huge.....mistake...
Afaik, they had every right to Hong Kong. Taiwan is very different.
It seems China is pretty aggressive as far as collecting new territory, one way or another, so Taiwan may be kind of a line in the sand. Taiwan may also be an important ally financially too, but I don't know to what extent. Our economy seems to benefit quite a bit from Taiwanese companies (e.g. TSMC, etc.). If they were to gain control of those kinds of tech companies, that could be a huge problem.
Actually, after looking it up, I don't think one could overstate the importance of tech like TSMC continuing to be independent. It's like the new oil.
Well Taiwan was part of China. During the Communist takeover it became the retreat point for the Nationalist gov in exile, so it's as much a part of China as is Hong Kong.
Re: peligrosa?!....Pelosi lands in Taiwan....
Posted by: JoeH
Date: August 03, 2022 07:34PM
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Quote
kj
Quote
RgrF
Quote
kj
Quote
NewtonMP2100
....they've already....'absorbed'......Hong Kong......giving back to them was a huge.....mistake...
Afaik, they had every right to Hong Kong. Taiwan is very different.
It seems China is pretty aggressive as far as collecting new territory, one way or another, so Taiwan may be kind of a line in the sand. Taiwan may also be an important ally financially too, but I don't know to what extent. Our economy seems to benefit quite a bit from Taiwanese companies (e.g. TSMC, etc.). If they were to gain control of those kinds of tech companies, that could be a huge problem.
Actually, after looking it up, I don't think one could overstate the importance of tech like TSMC continuing to be independent. It's like the new oil.
Well Taiwan was part of China. During the Communist takeover it became the retreat point for the Nationalist gov in exile, so it's as much a part of China as is Hong Kong.
I don't think that's exactly right. The UK returned Hong Kong to China, as had been agreed when they leased it. There's nothing like that going on with Taiwan. The current government in China has never governed Taiwan, in any way. China did govern Taiwan over a hundred years ago, but so did the Dutch before that. So maybe the Dutch could claim them also. But the fact is they have been independent for over a hundred years, and no one has made any agreement to return Taiwan to China.
Re: peligrosa?!....Pelosi lands in Taiwan....
Posted by: Acer
Date: August 03, 2022 07:47PM
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Re: peligrosa?!....Pelosi lands in Taiwan....
Posted by: dk62
Date: August 04, 2022 12:40PM
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Re: peligrosa?!....Pelosi lands in Taiwan....
Posted by: kj
Date: August 04, 2022 07:21PM
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Quote
JoeH
Quote
kj
Quote
RgrF
Quote
kj
Quote
NewtonMP2100
....they've already....'absorbed'......Hong Kong......giving back to them was a huge.....mistake...
Afaik, they had every right to Hong Kong. Taiwan is very different.
It seems China is pretty aggressive as far as collecting new territory, one way or another, so Taiwan may be kind of a line in the sand. Taiwan may also be an important ally financially too, but I don't know to what extent. Our economy seems to benefit quite a bit from Taiwanese companies (e.g. TSMC, etc.). If they were to gain control of those kinds of tech companies, that could be a huge problem.
Actually, after looking it up, I don't think one could overstate the importance of tech like TSMC continuing to be independent. It's like the new oil.
Well Taiwan was part of China. During the Communist takeover it became the retreat point for the Nationalist gov in exile, so it's as much a part of China as is Hong Kong.
I don't think that's exactly right. The UK returned Hong Kong to China, as had been agreed when they leased it. There's nothing like that going on with Taiwan. The current government in China has never governed Taiwan, in any way. China did govern Taiwan over a hundred years ago, but so did the Dutch before that. So maybe the Dutch could claim them also. But the fact is they have been independent for over a hundred years, and no one has made any agreement to return Taiwan to China.
After losing the First Sino-Japanese War Taiwan was ceded to Japan in 1895. For 50 years it was a territory controlled by Japan, the post WW II occupation was by ROC forces starting in 1945. But Taiwan was not returned to China's control until a treaty was signed in 1952 between Japan and the ROC government.
Re: peligrosa?!....Pelosi lands in Taiwan....
Posted by: kj
Date: August 04, 2022 07:26PM
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Quote
dk62
I personally think it was stupid, irresponsible, achieving absolutely nothing except a photo-op and applause of (a part of) home public, while risking other people's lives and livelihoods, at no risk to herself.
And I say that as someone who is hoping to retire there, and as a husband of a pro-independence Taiwanese wife.
Re: peligrosa?!....Pelosi lands in Taiwan....
Posted by: Acer
Date: August 04, 2022 07:38PM
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Re: peligrosa?!....Pelosi lands in Taiwan....
Posted by: vision63
Date: August 04, 2022 08:39PM
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Quote
dk62
I personally think it was stupid, irresponsible, achieving absolutely nothing except a photo-op and applause of (a part of) home public, while risking other people's lives and livelihoods, at no risk to herself.
And I say that as someone who is hoping to retire there, and as a husband of a pro-independence Taiwanese wife.
Re: peligrosa?!....Pelosi lands in Taiwan....
Posted by: kj
Date: August 05, 2022 12:56PM
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Quote
vision63
Quote
dk62
I personally think it was stupid, irresponsible, achieving absolutely nothing except a photo-op and applause of (a part of) home public, while risking other people's lives and livelihoods, at no risk to herself.
And I say that as someone who is hoping to retire there, and as a husband of a pro-independence Taiwanese wife.
China doesn't want our smoke. We don't want their smoke either. They're ramped up their military capacity a thousand-fold over the past 20 something years and are feeling frisky. They have more ships and planes than we do now. They've been running their "excersice" flights routinely for years trying to catch us sleeping. Being too afraid is how you lose.
Re: peligrosa?!....Pelosi lands in Taiwan....
Posted by: dk62
Date: August 05, 2022 06:47PM
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Re: peligrosa?!....Pelosi lands in Taiwan....
Posted by: Beam Me Up Scotty
Date: August 05, 2022 07:09PM
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Re: peligrosa?!....Pelosi lands in Taiwan....
Posted by: vision63
Date: August 06, 2022 02:32PM
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Quote
Beam Me Up Scotty
She never should've went in the first place. What was the point of the trip? What did it accomplish? Taiwan already knew the US & other countries are with them. Now look at the results. Taiwan is suffering the consequences & Nancy gets to go home to some kind of heros welcome. She must be up for reelection & needed to prove she's a rock star or something. What a waste.
Re: peligrosa?!....Pelosi lands in Taiwan....
Posted by: vision63
Date: August 06, 2022 02:36PM
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Quote
dk62
Again, let's see what is achieved:
- Excuse to hold most coordinated and dangerous exercise to date, including incursions over the previously respected median line (https://www.politico.com/news/2022/08/05/chinas-military-exercises-are-intel-00050129)
- Galvanizing Chinese public and gathering additional support among Chinese leadership for more aggressive stance towards Taiwan (most of them, like most of Taiwanese, were OK with the status quo).
- Severing several US-Chinese communication channels
- Disrupting flow of passengers and goods for days in that part of the world
- Photo-op for Pelosi, with fanboys admiring her "balls" (what exactly was her bravery here - this is not Tianemen square situation).
What is NOT achieved:
- Increased guarantees that we will start WW3 if China invades Taiwan
- Increased military assistance to Taiwan (which is completely independent from the visit of the Speaker of the House)
- Any deterrence to China (this will increase support for Xi's views rather than diminish it)
- Any indication that we will join the remaining 13 countries that recognize Taiwan as a separate country
- Appearance of strength? With Biden clearly stating he is not behind the visit? More like appearance of strategic ambiguity being replaced by strategic disorganization.
Re: peligrosa?!....Pelosi lands in Taiwan....
Posted by: dk62
Date: August 06, 2022 06:49PM
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Re: peligrosa?!....Pelosi lands in Taiwan....
Posted by: gadje
Date: August 06, 2022 07:16PM
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Re: peligrosa?!....Pelosi lands in Taiwan....
Posted by: vision63
Date: August 06, 2022 07:29PM
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Quote
dk62
So naive...
All bluster and no substance.. How does she have their back? Is she a commander in chief? China cannot touch them? Just compare US response to 1995 Chinese demonstration of force to this one. 1995: US Navy sails through the Strait of Taiwan in its own show of force. 2022: US Navy holds back and observes (rather than risking having a number of ships put on the bottom of the strait). The situation is drastically changed and adding oil to the fire is just stupid. Xi is just looking for greater support in his nationalistic expansionist policies among his party ahead of the conference that would potentially put him as president for life.
40+ years ago we decided to say that Taiwan is part of China, while warning China not to use force to enforce it. Within that framework, we have been subtly changing our stance towards Taiwan several times over those 40 years according to geopolitical realities and one party's representative is not going to change it. And if we stated that Taiwan is part of China, there is obvious tacit acknowledgement that China does have an interest in who is traveling to Taiwan. I have been a staunch Democrat my whole life, but at this point, were I in her district, I would vote against her. Just arrogant and stupid.
Re: peligrosa?!....Pelosi lands in Taiwan....
Posted by: dk62
Date: August 06, 2022 11:18PM
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Re: peligrosa?!....Pelosi lands in Taiwan....
Posted by: Acer
Date: August 07, 2022 11:50AM
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Re: peligrosa?!....Pelosi lands in Taiwan....
Posted by: RgrF
Date: August 07, 2022 02:05PM
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