Think the Rubes are finally wakin' up now?

[www.foxnews.com]

Still a lot of time left for The Decider to outdo himself and sink even lower.

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JoeM

Opinion Dynamics Corp. conducted the national telephone poll of 900 registered voters for FOX News on April 18 and April 19.

900? boy, that's some sample size.

I think a sample size between 500 and 1000 will statistically represent a population the size of the USosA. I'm sure someone will slam this statement, however.

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SteveJobs Wrote:
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> I think a sample size between 500 and 1000 will
> statistically represent a population the size of
> the USosA.


you're joking, right? what's the margin of error, 70%?

[www.footnotetv.com]

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In tha 360. MRF User Map

Their statistical methodology looks pretty good to me. Here's their estimated error rate:

"For a sample of about 900 interviews, the error due to sampling is plus or minus three percentage points. For example, when the survey says “47% of voters...” then chances are very strong that no less than 44% and no more than 50% of all voters would have responded the same way"

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"In science it often happens that scientists say, 'You know that's a really good argument; my position is mistaken,' and then they would actually change their minds and you never hear that old view from them again. They really do it. It doesn't happen as often as it should, because scientists are human and change is sometimes painful. But it happens every day. I cannot recall the last time something like that happened in politics or religion." (1987) -- Carl Sagan

incognegro - No I am not joking. Having taken and passed various college-level statistics courses, even though it was some 20 years ago, that one bit of information does indeed stick in my brain.

Again, I'm not taking the time to rehash some of the least interesting classes and theories I have studied. But, they did lend themselves to many financial theories once I TAUGHT Finance (at the NUMBER ONE ranked MBA school by the WSJ last year... no less ).

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Edited 1 time(s). Last edit at 04/28/2006 06:33AM by SteveJobs.

incognegro Wrote:
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> Opinion Dynamics Corp. conducted the national
> telephone poll of 900 registered voters for FOX
> News on April 18 and April 19.
>
> 900? boy, that's some sample size.

Have you never taken a statistics course? You're really hurting for excuses to defend the undefendable.